Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

20.05 – 83.85

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

123 – 262

Prediction correct · off by 140.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 331.6 ±18.1

1799Wired-Up!

Provisional

Season APEX 77.2Event APEX -39.74Rank 42Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

7546Prepa Tec - MinerZ

Season APEX 150Event APEX 57.12Rank 18Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9585RobUL

Season APEX 104.4Event APEX 2.67Rank 34Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 385.2 ±12.8

7421PrepaTec - OVERTURE

Season APEX 205.1Event APEX 131.29Rank 12Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1410The Kraken

Season APEX 104.8Event APEX -12.1Rank 35Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8334Titan Robotics

Season APEX 75.3Event APEX -35.34Rank 21Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1799, 7546, 9585

/ 100 compat

Projected

20 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 1799, 7546, 9585

Auto

13.0 90%

Teleop

1.8 12%

Endgame

-0.3 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7421, 1410, 8334

/ 100 compat

Projected

83.9 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 7421, 1410, 8334

Auto

26.4 30%

Teleop

34.0 39%

Endgame

26.5 30%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack
· Low variance, consistent output

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.36 · Blue 2.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score20pts

Blue projected score83.9pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 70%, blue 72%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -63.8
Score range: -14–118
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 385 vs event baseline 186.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

331.6Season APEX385.2

13Auto26.4

1.8Teleop34

-0.3Endgame26.5

70Consistency238

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	58
teleop	40	145
endgame	41	54
foul	5	5
total	123	262

Result

Final score

123 – 262

Prediction correct · off by 140.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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