Qualification · Qualification 45

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

237.28 – 195.79

63%37%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

262 – 229

Prediction correct · off by 29 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 429.3 ±12.4

10682Robo-Yotes

Season APEX 76.8Event APEX -3.66Rank 46Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 89

2972Gears and Buccaneers

Season APEX 116.6Event APEX 55.54Rank 49Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

118Robonauts

Season APEX 235.9Event APEX 185.4Rank 1Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 442.7 ±16.4

7485Mo Co Robo

Season APEX 99.7Event APEX 69.46Rank 51Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4593Rapid Acceleration

Season APEX 228.9Event APEX 97.32Rank 9Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9552Rambotics

Provisional

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 29.01Rank 44Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10682, 2972, 118

/ 100 compat

Projected

237.3 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 10682, 2972, 118

Auto

24.1 10%

Teleop

152.2 65%

Endgame

59.6 25%

Strengths

· 118 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 4%

Blue · 7485, 4593, 9552

/ 100 compat

Projected

195.8 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 7485, 4593, 9552

Auto

55.3 29%

Teleop

118.0 61%

Endgame

19.3 10%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 4%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.98 · Blue 1.42

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score237.3pts

Blue projected score195.8pts

Red win probability63%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 41.5
Score range: 163–270
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 491 vs event baseline 185.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

429.3Season APEX442.7

24.1Auto55.3

152.2Teleop118

59.6Endgame19.3

42Consistency70

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	53	39
teleop	144	102
endgame	65	73
foul	0	15
total	262	229

Result

Final score

262 – 229

Prediction correct · off by 29 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.