Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

152.11 – 426.76

3%97%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

82 – 580

Prediction correct · off by 111.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 297 ±14.5

2945Steel Mustangs

Season APEX 103.7Event APEX 58.87Rank 36Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 92

3648Sparta Robotica

Season APEX 138.3Event APEX 62.64Rank 27Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11025Garage Gang

Season APEX 55Event APEX 30.6Rank 39Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 672.9 ±11.7

9301PrepaTec - MechRams

Season APEX 134.6Event APEX 49.6Rank 22Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1619Up-A-Creek Robotics

Season APEX 246.4Event APEX 184.96Rank 7Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9068The Chargers

A+

Season APEX 291.9Event APEX 192.2Rank 3Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2945, 3648, 11025

/ 100 compat

Projected

152.1 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 2945, 3648, 11025

Auto

25.1 17%

Teleop

86.7 57%

Endgame

39.3 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9301, 1619, 9068

/ 100 compat

Projected

426.8 pts

~2.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 9301, 1619, 9068

Auto

43.3 11%

Teleop

252.6 63%

Endgame

104.6 26%

Strengths

· 9068 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.73 · Blue 2.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score152.1pts

Blue projected score426.8pts

Red win probability3%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -274.6
Score range: 119–460
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 662 vs event baseline 183.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

297Season APEX672.9

25.1Auto43.3

86.7Teleop252.6

39.3Endgame104.6

87Consistency84

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	88
teleop	24	347
endgame	22	145
foul	10	0
total	82	580

Result

Final score

82 – 580

Prediction correct · off by 111.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.