Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

118.62 – 316.06

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

61 – 370

Prediction correct · off by 55.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 274.5 ±17.7

2261Casa Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 88.7Event APEX 17.17Rank 20Record 6-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

2083Team Blitz

Season APEX 95.9Event APEX 72.58Rank 41Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 92

6704Mid Pacific Owls Robotics

Season APEX 89.9Event APEX 28.87Rank 32Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 476.3 ±13.3

1339Angelbotics

Season APEX 138.5Event APEX 67.61Rank 10Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2240Brute Force

Season APEX 213.9Event APEX 152.96Rank 2Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7725PrepaTec - NUTS & VOLTS

Season APEX 123.9Event APEX 95.49Rank 11Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2261, 2083, 6704

/ 100 compat

Projected

118.6 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 2261, 2083, 6704

Auto

23.6 21%

Teleop

44.2 39%

Endgame

45.1 40%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1339, 2240, 7725

/ 100 compat

Projected

316.1 pts

~2.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 1339, 2240, 7725

Auto

67.2 22%

Teleop

164.4 54%

Endgame

73.3 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.87 · Blue 2.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score118.6pts

Blue projected score316.1pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 70%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -197.4
Score range: 86–349
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 431 vs event baseline 182.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

274.5Season APEX476.3

23.6Auto67.2

44.2Teleop164.4

45.1Endgame73.3

32Consistency85

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	120
teleop	42	170
endgame	7	80
foul	0	0
total	61	370

Result

Final score

61 – 370

Prediction correct · off by 55.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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