Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

106.77 – 232.8

17%83%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

221 – 253

Prediction correct · off by 67.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 341.6 ±16.4

11025Garage Gang

Season APEX 55Event APEX 8.09Rank 39Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94

7421PrepaTec - OVERTURE

Season APEX 205.1Event APEX 111.21Rank 12Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7737RaptorBotics

Provisional

Season APEX 81.5Event APEX -12.53Rank 53Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 470.6 ±12.8

4593Rapid Acceleration

Season APEX 228.9Event APEX 96.69Rank 9Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

662Rocky Mountain Robotics

Season APEX 120.6Event APEX 67.15Rank 6Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 95

2036Boulder Valley Black Knights

Season APEX 121.1Event APEX 68.96Rank 28Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11025, 7421, 7737

/ 100 compat

Projected

106.8 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 11025, 7421, 7737

Auto

42.0 43%

Teleop

53.9 55%

Endgame

2.9 3%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4593, 662, 2036

/ 100 compat

Projected

232.8 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 4593, 662, 2036

Auto

51.7 23%

Teleop

154.2 68%

Endgame

21.5 9%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.01 · Blue 2.48

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score106.8pts

Blue projected score232.8pts

Red win probability17%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 69%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -126
Score range: 74–266
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 474 vs event baseline 182.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

341.6Season APEX470.6

42Auto51.7

53.9Teleop154.2

2.9Endgame21.5

217Consistency43

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	52
teleop	138	154
endgame	74	47
foul	0	0
total	221	253

Result

Final score

221 – 253

Prediction correct · off by 67.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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