Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

275.23 – 73.03

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

299 – 186

Prediction correct · off by 68.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 502.2 ±13.9

2240Brute Force

Season APEX 213.9Event APEX 152.43Rank 2Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7546Prepa Tec - MinerZ

Season APEX 150Event APEX 67.13Rank 18Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3648Sparta Robotica

Season APEX 138.3Event APEX 55.67Rank 27Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 341.3 ±15.3

1339Angelbotics

Season APEX 138.5Event APEX 49.51Rank 10Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9585RobUL

Season APEX 104.4Event APEX -16.05Rank 34Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76

11220The Royal Guard

Season APEX 98.4Event APEX 39.57Rank 8Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2240, 7546, 3648

/ 100 compat

Projected

275.2 pts

~2.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 2240, 7546, 3648

Auto

67.9 24%

Teleop

164.9 58%

Endgame

49.9 18%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 80%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1339, 9585, 11220

/ 100 compat

Projected

73 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 1339, 9585, 11220

Auto

15.3 25%

Teleop

32.0 53%

Endgame

13.0 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 80%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.73 · Blue 0.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score275.2pts

Blue projected score73pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 80%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 202.2
Score range: 41–307
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 485 vs event baseline 180.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

502.2Season APEX341.3

67.9Auto15.3

164.9Teleop32

49.9Endgame13

47Consistency96

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	82	58
teleop	144	67
endgame	73	61
foul	0	0
total	299	186

Result

Final score

299 – 186

Prediction correct · off by 68.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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