Qualification · Qualification 32

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

157.61 – 149.09

53%47%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

179 – 17

Prediction correct · off by 76.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 397.2 ±12.2

3354PrepaTec - TecDroid

Season APEX 237.3Event APEX 114.87Rank 23Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

159Alpine Robotics

Season APEX 69.9Event APEX 1.66Rank 55Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 95

2465KauaiBots

Season APEX 90Event APEX 41.08Rank 15Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 242.6 ±18.8

10686Central Park Nightbots

Provisional

Season APEX 65.7Event APEX 51.72Rank 52Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

7485Mo Co Robo

Season APEX 99.7Event APEX 93.89Rank 51Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1799Wired-Up!

Provisional

Season APEX 77.2Event APEX 3.48Rank 42Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3354, 159, 2465

/ 100 compat

Projected

157.6 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 3354, 159, 2465

Auto

30.4 19%

Teleop

120.5 74%

Endgame

12.9 8%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10686, 7485, 1799

/ 100 compat

Projected

149.1 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 10686, 7485, 1799

Auto

17.5 13%

Teleop

57.8 44%

Endgame

56.0 43%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.69 · Blue 1.48

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score157.6pts

Blue projected score149.1pts

Red win probability53%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 8.5
Score range: 116–191
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 196 vs event baseline 181.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

397.2Season APEX242.6

30.4Auto17.5

120.5Teleop57.8

12.9Endgame56

135Consistency72

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	15
teleop	62	2
endgame	57	0
foul	15	0
total	179	17

Result

Final score

179 – 17

Prediction correct · off by 76.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.