Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

252.91 – 244.28

53%47%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

336 – 228

Prediction correct · off by 49.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 564.7 ±14.9

1619Up-A-Creek Robotics

Season APEX 246.4Event APEX 119.35Rank 7Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9585RobUL

Season APEX 104.4Event APEX -11.53Rank 34Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76

2240Brute Force

Season APEX 213.9Event APEX 145.09Rank 2Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 506.5 ±11.6

4593Rapid Acceleration

Season APEX 228.9Event APEX 106.8Rank 9Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4944The Hi Fives

Season APEX 127.2Event APEX 85.4Rank 19Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6652Tigres

Season APEX 150.4Event APEX 52.08Rank 17Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1619, 9585, 2240

/ 100 compat

Projected

252.9 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 1619, 9585, 2240

Auto

56.8 24%

Teleop

127.6 53%

Endgame

56.0 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4593, 4944, 6652

/ 100 compat

Projected

244.3 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 4593, 4944, 6652

Auto

67.5 27%

Teleop

144.0 58%

Endgame

34.9 14%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.82 · Blue 1.64

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score252.9pts

Blue projected score244.3pts

Red win probability53%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 68%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 8.6
Score range: 213–284
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 564 vs event baseline 173.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

564.7Season APEX506.5

56.8Auto67.5

127.6Teleop144

56Endgame34.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	72	69
teleop	189	139
endgame	65	20
foul	10	0
total	336	228

Result

Final score

336 – 228

Prediction correct · off by 49.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.