Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

122.25 – 149.15

42%58%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

45 – 123

Prediction correct · off by 51.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 256.7 ±13.9

6704Mid Pacific Owls Robotics

Season APEX 89.9Event APEX 38.15Rank 32Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10682Robo-Yotes

Season APEX 76.8Event APEX 20.88Rank 46Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 89

2465KauaiBots

Season APEX 90Event APEX 63.22Rank 15Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 332.1 ±13.9

3729The Raiders

Season APEX 103.5Event APEX 74.36Rank 30Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9586Denbot

Season APEX 123.8Event APEX 93.02Rank 24Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1410The Kraken

Season APEX 104.8Event APEX -18.23Rank 35Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6704, 10682, 2465

/ 100 compat

Projected

122.3 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 6704, 10682, 2465

Auto

12.6 11%

Teleop

57.5 48%

Endgame

48.5 41%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3729, 9586, 1410

/ 100 compat

Projected

149.2 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 3729, 9586, 1410

Auto

42.2 29%

Teleop

65.5 45%

Endgame

38.3 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.49 · Blue 1.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score122.3pts

Blue projected score149.2pts

Red win probability42%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -26.9
Score range: 89–182
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 168 vs event baseline 184.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

256.7Season APEX332.1

12.6Auto42.2

57.5Teleop65.5

48.5Endgame38.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	16
teleop	25	73
endgame	0	24
foul	0	10
total	45	123

Result

Final score

45 – 123

Prediction correct · off by 51.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.