Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

101.22 – 239.56

15%85%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

67 – 232

Prediction correct · off by 20.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 255.2 ±16.5

159Alpine Robotics

Season APEX 69.9Event APEX -1.57Rank 55Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 95

1303WYOHAZARD

Provisional

Season APEX 68.7Event APEX 47.86Rank 43Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

2972Gears and Buccaneers

Season APEX 116.6Event APEX 54.93Rank 49Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 402.9 ±13.9

7546Prepa Tec - MinerZ

Season APEX 150Event APEX 96.56Rank 18Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7725PrepaTec - NUTS & VOLTS

Season APEX 123.9Event APEX 107.33Rank 11Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6702PrepaTec - StingBots

Season APEX 129Event APEX 35.67Rank 29Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 159, 1303, 2972

/ 100 compat

Projected

101.2 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 159, 1303, 2972

Auto

22.0 22%

Teleop

74.6 74%

Endgame

4.1 4%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7546, 7725, 6702

/ 100 compat

Projected

239.6 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 7546, 7725, 6702

Auto

36.3 15%

Teleop

150.2 62%

Endgame

54.6 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.87 · Blue 2.51

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score101.2pts

Blue projected score239.6pts

Red win probability15%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 76%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -138.3
Score range: 68–273
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 299 vs event baseline 181.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

255.2Season APEX402.9

22Auto36.3

74.6Teleop150.2

4.1Endgame54.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	33
teleop	46	136
endgame	3	63
foul	0	0
total	67	232

Result

Final score

67 – 232

Prediction correct · off by 20.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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