Qualification · Qualification 15

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

133.27 – 26.7

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

183 – 136

Prediction correct · off by 79.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 459 ±18.7

1822Electric Calamari

Provisional

Season APEX 106.1Event APEX 20.73Rank 40Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9068The Chargers

A+

Season APEX 291.9Event APEX 106.86Rank 3Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7479Cardinal Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 61Event APEX 5.68Rank 48Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 321.4 ±16.3

2083Team Blitz

Season APEX 95.9Event APEX 27.43Rank 41Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 92

2036Boulder Valley Black Knights

Season APEX 121.1Event APEX 63.43Rank 28Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

9585RobUL

Season APEX 104.4Event APEX -64.16Rank 34Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1822, 9068, 7479

/ 100 compat

Projected

133.3 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 1822, 9068, 7479

Auto

32.0 24%

Teleop

75.4 56%

Endgame

27.3 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2083, 2036, 9585

/ 100 compat

Projected

26.7 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 2083, 2036, 9585

Auto

1.5 6%

Teleop

13.9 52%

Endgame

11.2 42%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.29 · Blue 1.21

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score133.3pts

Blue projected score26.7pts

Red win probability79%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 71%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 106.6
Score range: -6–166
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 319 vs event baseline 183.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

459Season APEX321.4

32Auto1.5

75.4Teleop13.9

27.3Endgame11.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	29
teleop	67	55
endgame	99	52
foul	0	0
total	183	136

Result

Final score

183 – 136

Prediction correct · off by 79.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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