Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

160.8 – 47.16

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

140 – 317

Prediction missed · off by 145.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 375.9 ±15.6

4068Bearbotics

Season APEX 160.2Event APEX 57.74Rank 14Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1799Wired-Up!

Provisional

Season APEX 77.2Event APEX 64.2Rank 42Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

1339Angelbotics

Season APEX 138.5Event APEX 38.86Rank 10Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 493.6 ±15.3

4499The Highlanders

A+

Season APEX 301.1Event APEX 39.14Rank 4Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1303WYOHAZARD

Provisional

Season APEX 68.7Event APEX -28.55Rank 43Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

9586Denbot

Season APEX 123.8Event APEX 36.57Rank 24Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4068, 1799, 1339

/ 100 compat

Projected

160.8 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 4068, 1799, 1339

Auto

45.2 29%

Teleop

81.5 53%

Endgame

28.4 18%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 4499, 1303, 9586

/ 100 compat

Projected

47.2 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 4499, 1303, 9586

Auto

23.8 51%

Teleop

11.3 24%

Endgame

11.6 25%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.31 · Blue 1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score160.8pts

Blue projected score47.2pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 113.6
Score range: 14–194
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 457 vs event baseline 181.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

375.9Season APEX493.6

45.2Auto23.8

81.5Teleop11.3

28.4Endgame11.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	108
teleop	94	180
endgame	1	24
foul	30	5
total	140	317

Result

Final score

140 – 317

Prediction missed · off by 145.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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