Qualification · Qualification 11
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
75.22 – 178.71
22%78%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
80 – 247
Prediction correct · off by 36.5 points
Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 285.1 ±13.9
Season APEX 77.4Event APEX -5.39Rank 45Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94
Season APEX 104.7Event APEX 8.61Rank 54Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 94
Season APEX 103Event APEX 72Rank 16Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 510.8 ±12.8
Season APEX 150Event APEX 81.25Rank 18Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 73.71Rank 13Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 116.6Event APEX 23.75Rank 49Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5526, 4388, 1977
49
/ 100 compatProjected
75.2 pts
~1.1 RP (regional)
Teams: 5526, 4388, 1977
Auto
20.3 27%
Teleop
37.7 50%
Endgame
17.3 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7546, 2486, 2972
65
/ 100 compatProjected
178.7 pts
~2.4 RP (regional)
Teams: 7546, 2486, 2972
Auto
54.3 32%
Teleop
103.8 61%
Endgame
11.4 7%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.09 · Blue 2.42
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score75.2pts
Blue projected score178.7pts
Red win probability22%
Event bonus sample196alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 61%, blue 80%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -103.5
- Score range
- 44–210
- Upset likelihood
- 22%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
285.1Season APEX510.8
20.3Auto54.3
37.7Teleop103.8
17.3Endgame11.4
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 19 | 39 |
| teleop | 39 | 131 |
| endgame | 17 | 77 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 80 | 247 |
Result
Final score
80 – 247
Prediction correct · off by 36.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.