Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

263.34 – 376.45

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

251 – 341

Prediction correct · off by 23.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 420.3 ±13.3

7725PrepaTec - NUTS & VOLTS

Season APEX 123.9Event APEX 85.65Rank 11Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4068Bearbotics

Season APEX 160.2Event APEX 111.94Rank 14Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4293Komodo

Season APEX 136.2Event APEX 65.75Rank 26Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 625.3 ±11.7

4593Rapid Acceleration

Season APEX 228.9Event APEX 168.03Rank 9Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7546Prepa Tec - MinerZ

Season APEX 150Event APEX 58.63Rank 18Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1619Up-A-Creek Robotics

Season APEX 246.4Event APEX 149.79Rank 7Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7725, 4068, 4293

/ 100 compat

Projected

263.3 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 7725, 4068, 4293

Auto

30.8 12%

Teleop

153.2 61%

Endgame

68.0 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 71%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 4593, 7546, 1619

/ 100 compat

Projected

376.5 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 4593, 7546, 1619

Auto

87.7 24%

Teleop

205.6 56%

Endgame

76.6 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 71%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.19 · Blue 2.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score263.3pts

Blue projected score376.5pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 71%, blue 70%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -113.1
Score range: 225–414
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 592 vs event baseline 213.7.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

420.3Season APEX625.3

30.8Auto87.7

153.2Teleop205.6

68Endgame76.6

38Consistency38

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	94
teleop	173	207
endgame	59	25
foul	5	15
total	251	341

Result

Final score

251 – 341

Prediction correct · off by 23.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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