Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

369.5 – 365.57

51%49%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

399 – 340

Prediction correct · off by 27.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 740.4 ±15.8

9597Luban Robotics

A+

Season APEX 324.6Event APEX 151.35Rank 3Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 95

6304EAGLE

Season APEX 126.3Event APEX 95.18Rank 20Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 76

9635Cyber Rabbit

Season APEX 289.5Event APEX 122.97Rank 5Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 473 ±18

6986PPT Bots

Provisional

Season APEX 133.1Event APEX 104.83Rank 13Record 4-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

11019X.PLORE

Season APEX 189.5Event APEX 128.68Rank 9Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8810The Alphabots

Provisional

Season APEX 150.4Event APEX 132.06Rank 21Record 4-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9597, 6304, 9635

/ 100 compat

Projected

369.5 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 9597, 6304, 9635

Auto

87.8 25%

Teleop

194.1 54%

Endgame

74.5 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6986, 11019, 8810

/ 100 compat

Projected

365.6 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 6986, 11019, 8810

Auto

58.9 16%

Teleop

219.2 61%

Endgame

83.7 23%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.62 · Blue 1.61

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score369.5pts

Blue projected score365.6pts

Red win probability51%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 3.9
Score range: 329–407
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 739 vs event baseline 204.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

740.4Season APEX473

87.8Auto58.9

194.1Teleop219.2

74.5Endgame83.7

6Consistency14

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	100	63
teleop	189	139
endgame	80	138
foul	30	0
total	399	340

Result

Final score

399 – 340

Prediction correct · off by 27.5 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.