Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

504.38 – 394.05

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

367 – 326

Prediction correct · off by 102.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 729.4 ±14.9

10526Orcas

Season APEX 124.2Event APEX 51.14Rank 28Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 77

6941IronPulse Robotics

Season APEX 267.4Event APEX 203.31Rank 2Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8214Cyber Unicorn

Season APEX 337.8Event APEX 249.93Rank 1Record 7-0-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 642.2 ±14.7

6766AtomStorm

Season APEX 226.7Event APEX 153.53Rank 6Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11328SIA

Provisional

Season APEX 172.9Event APEX 76.69Rank 23Record 4-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

6907The G.O.A.T

Season APEX 242.6Event APEX 163.83Rank 19Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10526, 6941, 8214

/ 100 compat

Projected

504.4 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 10526, 6941, 8214

Auto

104.0 21%

Teleop

273.0 55%

Endgame

115.8 23%

Strengths

· 8214 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6766, 11328, 6907

/ 100 compat

Projected

394.1 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 6766, 11328, 6907

Auto

68.3 18%

Teleop

238.5 62%

Endgame

77.5 20%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.24 · Blue 1.05

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score504.4pts

Blue projected score394.1pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 110.3
Score range: 358–540
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 693 vs event baseline 202.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

729.4Season APEX642.2

104Auto68.3

273Teleop238.5

115.8Endgame77.5

0Consistency25

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	80	90
teleop	166	163
endgame	116	63
foul	5	10
total	367	326

Result

Final score

367 – 326

Prediction correct · off by 102.7 pts

Match videos

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