Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

333.4 – 210.94

82%18%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

407 – 400

Prediction correct · off by 131.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 591.8 ±15.8

6706Golem

Season APEX 136Event APEX 134.92Rank 15Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 76

11118The Baybies

A+

Season APEX 308.5Event APEX 89.63Rank 17Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

8011Wayi Guangzhou

Season APEX 147.3Event APEX 108.85Rank 11Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 568.2 ±19.3

5449Prototype

Provisional

Season APEX 127.6Event APEX 53.62Rank 18Record 4-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

10131Royal Turtles

Season APEX 278.4Event APEX 49.06Rank 4Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10541CarbonPulse Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 162.2Event APEX 108.26Rank 10Record 4-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6706, 11118, 8011

/ 100 compat

Projected

333.4 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 6706, 11118, 8011

Auto

54.2 16%

Teleop

196.6 59%

Endgame

81.0 24%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5449, 10131, 10541

/ 100 compat

Projected

210.9 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 5449, 10131, 10541

Auto

44.9 22%

Teleop

111.4 54%

Endgame

51.1 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.28 · Blue 1.14

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score333.4pts

Blue projected score210.9pts

Red win probability82%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 70%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 122.5
Score range: 175–369
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 807 vs event baseline 199.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

591.8Season APEX568.2

54.2Auto44.9

196.6Teleop111.4

81Endgame51.1

17Consistency71

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	67	49
teleop	225	225
endgame	95	121
foul	20	5
total	407	400

Result

Final score

407 – 400

Prediction correct · off by 131.3 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.