Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

370.31 – 236.5

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

452 – 235

Prediction correct · off by 41.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 642.2 ±14.7

6766AtomStorm

Season APEX 226.7Event APEX 149.05Rank 6Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11328SIA

Provisional

Season APEX 172.9Event APEX 69.59Rank 23Record 4-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

6907The G.O.A.T

Season APEX 242.6Event APEX 151.67Rank 19Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 450.7 ±13.3

10711FORMSHOP

Season APEX 144.1Event APEX 58.82Rank 7Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6487Clockwork Knights

Season APEX 187.2Event APEX 89.37Rank 8Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5823ACE

Season APEX 119.4Event APEX 88.31Rank 30Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6766, 11328, 6907

/ 100 compat

Projected

370.3 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 6766, 11328, 6907

Auto

59.1 16%

Teleop

242.0 66%

Endgame

64.8 18%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10711, 6487, 5823

/ 100 compat

Projected

236.5 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 10711, 6487, 5823

Auto

39.6 17%

Teleop

125.2 55%

Endgame

63.7 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.32 · Blue 1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score370.3pts

Blue projected score236.5pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 133.8
Score range: 203–404
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 687 vs event baseline 190.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

642.2Season APEX450.7

59.1Auto39.6

242Teleop125.2

64.8Endgame63.7

61Consistency53

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	90	52
teleop	239	145
endgame	103	28
foul	20	10
total	452	235

Result

Final score

452 – 235

Prediction correct · off by 41.6 pts

Match videos

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