Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

483.73 – 175.52

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

571 – 32

Prediction correct · off by 115.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 729.4 ±14.9

10526Orcas

Season APEX 124.2Event APEX 48.28Rank 28Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 77

6941IronPulse Robotics

Season APEX 267.4Event APEX 186.22Rank 2Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8214Cyber Unicorn

Season APEX 337.8Event APEX 249.23Rank 1Record 7-0-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 418.5 ±17.7

10479Powerhouse

Season APEX 116.6Event APEX 58.5Rank 25Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

6433HZ4Z

Provisional

Season APEX 95.7Event APEX 22.34Rank 12Record 5-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

6940Violet Z

Season APEX 206.2Event APEX 94.68Rank 14Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 89

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10526, 6941, 8214

/ 100 compat

Projected

483.7 pts

~2.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 10526, 6941, 8214

Auto

104.0 22%

Teleop

255.1 55%

Endgame

106.9 23%

Strengths

· 8214 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10479, 6433, 6940

/ 100 compat

Projected

175.5 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 10479, 6433, 6940

Auto

37.6 23%

Teleop

104.2 63%

Endgame

23.7 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.61 · Blue 0.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score483.7pts

Blue projected score175.5pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 308.2
Score range: 142–518
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 603 vs event baseline 188.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

729.4Season APEX418.5

104Auto37.6

255.1Teleop104.2

106.9Endgame23.7

0Consistency78

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	110	0
teleop	325	27
endgame	136	0
foul	0	5
total	571	32

Result

Final score

571 – 32

Prediction correct · off by 115.4 pts

Match videos

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