Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

354.84 – 354.92

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

416 – 141

Prediction missed · off by 137.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 740.4 ±15.8

9597Luban Robotics

A+

Season APEX 324.6Event APEX 145.12Rank 3Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 95

6304EAGLE

Season APEX 126.3Event APEX 90.12Rank 20Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 76

9635Cyber Rabbit

Season APEX 289.5Event APEX 119.6Rank 5Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 591.8 ±15.8

6706Golem

Season APEX 136Event APEX 139.42Rank 15Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 76

11118The Baybies

A+

Season APEX 308.5Event APEX 98.06Rank 17Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

8011Wayi Guangzhou

Season APEX 147.3Event APEX 117.44Rank 11Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9597, 6304, 9635

/ 100 compat

Projected

354.8 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 9597, 6304, 9635

Auto

89.2 26%

Teleop

174.9 51%

Endgame

75.7 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6706, 11118, 8011

/ 100 compat

Projected

354.9 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 6706, 11118, 8011

Auto

54.9 16%

Teleop

212.4 61%

Endgame

80.3 23%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.59 · Blue 1.64

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score354.8pts

Blue projected score354.9pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -0.1
Score range: 316–394
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 557 vs event baseline 215.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

740.4Season APEX591.8

89.2Auto54.9

174.9Teleop212.4

75.7Endgame80.3

13Consistency10

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	108	58
teleop	216	60
endgame	82	18
foul	10	5
total	416	141

Result

Final score

416 – 141

Prediction missed · off by 137.5 pts