Playoff · Playoff Match 11 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

471.69 – 378.85

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

535 – 274

Prediction correct · off by 84.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 729.4 ±14.9

10526Orcas

Season APEX 124.2Event APEX 39.15Rank 28Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 77

6941IronPulse Robotics

Season APEX 267.4Event APEX 190.77Rank 2Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8214Cyber Unicorn

Season APEX 337.8Event APEX 241.77Rank 1Record 7-0-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 740.4 ±15.8

9597Luban Robotics

A+

Season APEX 324.6Event APEX 154.2Rank 3Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 95

6304EAGLE

Season APEX 126.3Event APEX 98.69Rank 20Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 76

9635Cyber Rabbit

Season APEX 289.5Event APEX 125.96Rank 5Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10526, 6941, 8214

/ 100 compat

Projected

471.7 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 10526, 6941, 8214

Auto

98.3 21%

Teleop

248.2 54%

Endgame

115.4 25%

Strengths

· 8214 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9597, 6304, 9635

/ 100 compat

Projected

378.8 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 9597, 6304, 9635

Auto

91.5 25%

Teleop

194.0 54%

Endgame

75.6 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.17 · Blue 1.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score471.7pts

Blue projected score378.8pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 92.8
Score range: 341–510
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 809 vs event baseline 210.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

729.4Season APEX740.4

98.3Auto91.5

248.2Teleop194

115.4Endgame75.6

4Consistency4

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	100	81
teleop	270	109
endgame	75	74
foul	90	10
total	535	274

Result

Final score

535 – 274

Prediction correct · off by 84.1 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.