Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

131 – 211.91

27%73%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

81 – 249

Prediction correct · off by 43.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 353.5 ±18.9

5849Joker

Provisional

Season APEX 123.5Event APEX 24.36Rank 41Record 2-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

6353EFZ Robotics

Season APEX 138.7Event APEX 44.55Rank 22Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 89

10120Wulfa the Wolf

Season APEX 91.3Event APEX 62.09Rank 45Record 1-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 413.5 ±20.1

10479Powerhouse

Season APEX 116.6Event APEX 42.02Rank 25Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

8810The Alphabots

Provisional

Season APEX 150.4Event APEX 125.02Rank 21Record 4-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

7002风云蹦豆

Provisional

Season APEX 146.5Event APEX 44.87Rank 24Record 4-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5849, 6353, 10120

/ 100 compat

Projected

131 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 5849, 6353, 10120

Auto

12.9 10%

Teleop

77.1 60%

Endgame

38.3 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10479, 8810, 7002

/ 100 compat

Projected

211.9 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 10479, 8810, 7002

Auto

24.5 13%

Teleop

109.3 59%

Endgame

52.2 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.29 · Blue 2.09

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score131pts

Blue projected score211.9pts

Red win probability27%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -80.9
Score range: 91–252
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 330 vs event baseline 220.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

353.5Season APEX413.5

12.9Auto24.5

77.1Teleop109.3

38.3Endgame52.2

52Consistency5

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	6	33
teleop	54	111
endgame	21	50
foul	0	55
total	81	249

Result

Final score

81 – 249

Prediction correct · off by 43.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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