Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

127.79 – 344.04

6%94%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

247 – 192

Prediction missed · off by 135.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 411.9 ±20.7

6766AtomStorm

Season APEX 226.7Event APEX 122.58Rank 6Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11288Trident Force

Provisional

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX -5.91Rank 40Record 3-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

8015The Cheetahs

Provisional

Season APEX 105.9Event APEX 11.12Rank 27Record 4-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 386.6 ±19.8

10541CarbonPulse Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 162.2Event APEX 150.58Rank 10Record 4-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

10120Wulfa the Wolf

Season APEX 91.3Event APEX 85.17Rank 45Record 1-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

6986PPT Bots

Provisional

Season APEX 133.1Event APEX 108.29Rank 13Record 4-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6766, 11288, 8015

/ 100 compat

Projected

127.8 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 6766, 11288, 8015

Auto

29.4 23%

Teleop

84.6 65%

Endgame

15.2 12%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10541, 10120, 6986

/ 100 compat

Projected

344 pts

~2.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 10541, 10120, 6986

Auto

53.9 15%

Teleop

201.5 58%

Endgame

92.5 27%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.74 · Blue 2.63

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score127.8pts

Blue projected score344pts

Red win probability6%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 70%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -216.2
Score range: 94–378
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 439 vs event baseline 186.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

411.9Season APEX386.6

29.4Auto53.9

84.6Teleop201.5

15.2Endgame92.5

87Consistency78

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	15
teleop	143	93
endgame	57	84
foul	10	0
total	247	192

Result

Final score

247 – 192

Prediction missed · off by 135.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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