Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

192.78 – 386.04

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

205 – 471

Prediction correct · off by 48.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 537.2 ±18

10479Powerhouse

Season APEX 116.6Event APEX 35.85Rank 25Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

9597Luban Robotics

A+

Season APEX 324.6Event APEX 137.38Rank 3Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 95

6394MITO

Provisional

Season APEX 96Event APEX 19.55Rank 43Record 2-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 752.4 ±17.2

8214Cyber Unicorn

Season APEX 337.8Event APEX 231.72Rank 1Record 7-0-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6494Wings of Liberty

Provisional

Season APEX 125.1Event APEX 52.13Rank 16Record 4-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

9635Cyber Rabbit

Season APEX 289.5Event APEX 102.19Rank 5Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10479, 9597, 6394

/ 100 compat

Projected

192.8 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 10479, 9597, 6394

Auto

29.3 16%

Teleop

116.6 63%

Endgame

37.9 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8214, 6494, 9635

/ 100 compat

Projected

386 pts

~2.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 8214, 6494, 9635

Auto

109.4 30%

Teleop

174.3 47%

Endgame

86.7 23%

Strengths

· 8214 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.83 · Blue 2.58

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score192.8pts

Blue projected score386pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -193.3
Score range: 160–419
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 676 vs event baseline 184.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

537.2Season APEX752.4

29.3Auto109.4

116.6Teleop174.3

37.9Endgame86.7

113Consistency46

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	125
teleop	127	236
endgame	58	110
foul	10	0
total	205	471

Result

Final score

205 – 471

Prediction correct · off by 48.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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