Qualification · Qualification 4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

163.01 – 141.57

57%43%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

153 – 164

Prediction missed · off by 16.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 423.7 ±19.9

6304EAGLE

Season APEX 126.3Event APEX 80.82Rank 20Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 76

7601Shenzhen Unity Stallion

Provisional

Season APEX 91.2Event APEX 3.28Rank 29Record 3-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

6940Violet Z

Season APEX 206.2Event APEX 78.91Rank 14Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 89

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 510.4 ±21.4

8015The Cheetahs

Provisional

Season APEX 105.9Event APEX 15.9Rank 27Record 4-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

6394MITO

Provisional

Season APEX 96Event APEX 37.01Rank 43Record 2-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

11118The Baybies

A+

Season APEX 308.5Event APEX 88.66Rank 17Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6304, 7601, 6940

/ 100 compat

Projected

163 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 6304, 7601, 6940

Auto

42.8 29%

Teleop

70.5 47%

Endgame

36.2 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8015, 6394, 11118

/ 100 compat

Projected

141.6 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 8015, 6394, 11118

Auto

16.5 12%

Teleop

83.7 59%

Endgame

40.6 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.83 · Blue 1.52

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score163pts

Blue projected score141.6pts

Red win probability57%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 21.4
Score range: 102–203
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 317 vs event baseline 220.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

423.7Season APEX510.4

42.8Auto16.5

70.5Teleop83.7

36.2Endgame40.6

72Consistency55

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	47	14
teleop	58	91
endgame	13	44
foul	35	15
total	153	164

Result

Final score

153 – 164

Prediction missed · off by 16.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.