Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

434.31 – 160.79

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

371 – 136

Prediction correct · off by 44.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 652.5 ±16.4

6907The G.O.A.T

Season APEX 242.6Event APEX 155.23Rank 19Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8214Cyber Unicorn

Season APEX 337.8Event APEX 251.08Rank 1Record 7-0-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5522Stargazer

Provisional

Season APEX 72.1Event APEX 28Rank 35Record 3-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 373 ±20.3

5516Iron Maple

Provisional

Season APEX 82.7Event APEX 30.73Rank 26Record 4-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

6487Clockwork Knights

Season APEX 187.2Event APEX 100.66Rank 8Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9421Nexus

Provisional

Season APEX 103.1Event APEX 29.4Rank 42Record 2-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6907, 8214, 5522

/ 100 compat

Projected

434.3 pts

~2.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 6907, 8214, 5522

Auto

87.3 21%

Teleop

238.8 57%

Endgame

92.5 22%

Strengths

· 8214 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5516, 6487, 9421

/ 100 compat

Projected

160.8 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 5516, 6487, 9421

Auto

28.8 18%

Teleop

83.4 52%

Endgame

47.6 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.67 · Blue 0.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score434.3pts

Blue projected score160.8pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 273.5
Score range: 121–474
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 507 vs event baseline 220.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

652.5Season APEX373

87.3Auto28.8

238.8Teleop83.4

92.5Endgame47.6

20Consistency59

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	87	22
teleop	231	50
endgame	53	64
foul	0	0
total	371	136

Result

Final score

371 – 136

Prediction correct · off by 44.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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