Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

135.63 – 249.34

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

244 – 299

Prediction correct · off by 79 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 443.1 ±17.7

11288Trident Force

Provisional

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX -8.21Rank 40Record 3-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

6907The G.O.A.T

Season APEX 242.6Event APEX 134.7Rank 19Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6399Tinspiratio

Season APEX 121.2Event APEX 9.14Rank 32Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 92

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 432.4 ±14.9

6304EAGLE

Season APEX 126.3Event APEX 85.83Rank 20Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 76

10479Powerhouse

Season APEX 116.6Event APEX 53.95Rank 25Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

11019X.PLORE

Season APEX 189.5Event APEX 109.56Rank 9Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11288, 6907, 6399

/ 100 compat

Projected

135.6 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 11288, 6907, 6399

Auto

23.7 17%

Teleop

90.4 67%

Endgame

21.5 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6304, 10479, 11019

/ 100 compat

Projected

249.3 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 6304, 10479, 11019

Auto

17.6 8%

Teleop

151.0 66%

Endgame

60.1 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.03 · Blue 2.25

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score135.6pts

Blue projected score249.3pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -113.7
Score range: 102–283
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 543 vs event baseline 186.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

443.1Season APEX432.4

23.7Auto17.6

90.4Teleop151

21.5Endgame60.1

37Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	31
teleop	131	198
endgame	80	60
foul	10	10
total	244	299

Result

Final score

244 – 299

Prediction correct · off by 79 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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