Qualification · Qualification 22

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

145.51 – 41.03

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

232 – 20

Prediction correct · off by 53.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 725.3 ±17.2

9597Luban Robotics

A+

Season APEX 324.6Event APEX 72.79Rank 3Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 95

10131Royal Turtles

Season APEX 278.4Event APEX 35.99Rank 4Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11319Polaris

Provisional

Season APEX 122.3Event APEX 36.73Rank 31Record 3-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 208.3 ±24.2

5849Joker

Provisional

Season APEX 123.5Event APEX 7.53Rank 41Record 2-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

10214Team Doritos

Provisional

Season APEX 44.9Event APEX 23.57Rank 48Record 2-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

7738Helion

Provisional

Season APEX 39.9Event APEX 9.93Rank 50Record 0-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9597, 10131, 11319

/ 100 compat

Projected

145.5 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 9597, 10131, 11319

Auto

17.0 14%

Teleop

75.2 61%

Endgame

30.2 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5849, 10214, 7738

/ 100 compat

Projected

41 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 5849, 10214, 7738

Auto

1.1 4%

Teleop

11.2 39%

Endgame

16.5 57%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.28 · Blue 0.97

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score145.5pts

Blue projected score41pts

Red win probability79%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 104.5
Score range: 7–180
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 252 vs event baseline 190.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

725.3Season APEX208.3

17Auto1.1

75.2Teleop11.2

30.2Endgame16.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	51	10
teleop	110	10
endgame	71	0
foul	0	0
total	232	20

Result

Final score

232 – 20

Prediction correct · off by 53.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.