Qualification · Qualification 21

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

251.43 – 68.81

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

260 – 62

Prediction correct · off by 7.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 562.6 ±21.4

7002风云蹦豆

Provisional

Season APEX 146.5Event APEX 83.99Rank 24Record 4-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

11352Flying Tiger

Provisional

Season APEX 78.3Event APEX 12.08Rank 49Record 1-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

8214Cyber Unicorn

Season APEX 337.8Event APEX 155.36Rank 1Record 7-0-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 294.4 ±24.2

11485Bestarian NextGEN

Provisional

Season APEX 78.5Event APEX -26.3Rank 47Record 2-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

10016Absolute Zero

Provisional

Season APEX 110Event APEX 42.47Rank 34Record 3-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

8015The Cheetahs

Provisional

Season APEX 105.9Event APEX 52.64Rank 27Record 4-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7002, 11352, 8214

/ 100 compat

Projected

251.4 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 7002, 11352, 8214

Auto

49.1 24%

Teleop

116.8 56%

Endgame

41.4 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11485, 10016, 8015

/ 100 compat

Projected

68.8 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 11485, 10016, 8015

Auto

35.3 49%

Teleop

21.5 30%

Endgame

15.1 21%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.46 · Blue 0.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score251.4pts

Blue projected score68.8pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 182.6
Score range: 34–286
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 322 vs event baseline 192.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

562.6Season APEX294.4

49.1Auto35.3

116.8Teleop21.5

41.4Endgame15.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	50	11
teleop	129	30
endgame	66	21
foul	15	0
total	260	62

Result

Final score

260 – 62

Prediction correct · off by 7.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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