Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

116.5 – 264.21

14%86%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

99 – 199

Prediction correct · off by 41.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 426.2 ±19.4

11328SIA

Provisional

Season APEX 172.9Event APEX 69.38Rank 23Record 4-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

10016Absolute Zero

Provisional

Season APEX 110Event APEX 8.41Rank 34Record 3-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

7594Nautilus

Season APEX 143.3Event APEX 38.71Rank 33Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 611.9 ±16.4

9635Cyber Rabbit

Season APEX 289.5Event APEX 112.12Rank 5Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 95

6433HZ4Z

Provisional

Season APEX 95.7Event APEX 4.12Rank 12Record 5-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

6766AtomStorm

Season APEX 226.7Event APEX 147.97Rank 6Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11328, 10016, 7594

/ 100 compat

Projected

116.5 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 11328, 10016, 7594

Auto

24.7 21%

Teleop

79.9 69%

Endgame

10.7 9%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9635, 6433, 6766

/ 100 compat

Projected

264.2 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 9635, 6433, 6766

Auto

74.4 29%

Teleop

133.9 52%

Endgame

47.2 18%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.92 · Blue 2.35

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score116.5pts

Blue projected score264.2pts

Red win probability14%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -147.7
Score range: 77–304
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 298 vs event baseline 220.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

426.2Season APEX611.9

24.7Auto74.4

79.9Teleop133.9

10.7Endgame47.2

46Consistency83

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	60
teleop	57	114
endgame	22	15
foul	0	10
total	99	199

Result

Final score

99 – 199

Prediction correct · off by 41.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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