Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

122.37 – 123.66

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

474 – 66

Prediction missed · off by 204.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 534.1 ±12.8

5823ACE

Season APEX 119.4Event APEX -0.85Rank 30Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6941IronPulse Robotics

Season APEX 267.4Event APEX 63.93Rank 2Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8011Wayi Guangzhou

Season APEX 147.3Event APEX 59.29Rank 11Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 346.8 ±22.6

7601Shenzhen Unity Stallion

Provisional

Season APEX 91.2Event APEX 24.93Rank 29Record 3-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

11328SIA

Provisional

Season APEX 172.9Event APEX 72.74Rank 23Record 4-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

5516Iron Maple

Provisional

Season APEX 82.7Event APEX 25.99Rank 26Record 4-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5823, 6941, 8011

/ 100 compat

Projected

122.4 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 5823, 6941, 8011

Auto

42.0 31%

Teleop

67.5 50%

Endgame

25.8 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7601, 11328, 5516

/ 100 compat

Projected

123.7 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 7601, 11328, 5516

Auto

22.7 19%

Teleop

61.2 52%

Endgame

34.3 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.71 · Blue 1.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score122.4pts

Blue projected score123.7pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -1.3
Score range: 88–158
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 540 vs event baseline 186.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

534.1Season APEX346.8

42Auto22.7

67.5Teleop61.2

25.8Endgame34.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	86	7
teleop	268	28
endgame	115	31
foul	5	0
total	474	66

Result

Final score

474 – 66

Prediction missed · off by 204.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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