Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

100.44 – 140.79

38%62%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

100 – 331

Prediction correct · off by 95.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 331.9 ±20.7

5823ACE

Season APEX 119.4Event APEX 23.43Rank 30Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6494Wings of Liberty

Provisional

Season APEX 125.1Event APEX 7.58Rank 16Record 4-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

11256Satellites

Provisional

Season APEX 87.4Event APEX 69.43Rank 37Record 3-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 667.5 ±16.4

10131Royal Turtles

Season APEX 278.4Event APEX -9.95Rank 4Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6907The G.O.A.T

Season APEX 242.6Event APEX 90.83Rank 19Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7002风云蹦豆

Provisional

Season APEX 146.5Event APEX 59.91Rank 24Record 4-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5823, 6494, 11256

/ 100 compat

Projected

100.4 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 5823, 6494, 11256

Auto

31.9 33%

Teleop

40.8 42%

Endgame

24.5 25%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10131, 6907, 7002

/ 100 compat

Projected

140.8 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 10131, 6907, 7002

Auto

31.7 25%

Teleop

81.8 65%

Endgame

11.8 9%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.52 · Blue 1.97

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score100.4pts

Blue projected score140.8pts

Red win probability38%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 69%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -40.3
Score range: 66–175
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 431 vs event baseline 188.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

331.9Season APEX667.5

31.9Auto31.7

40.8Teleop81.8

24.5Endgame11.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	32
teleop	37	209
endgame	44	85
foul	0	5
total	100	331

Result

Final score

100 – 331

Prediction correct · off by 95.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.