Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

492.67 – 355.49

85%15%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

515 – 173

Prediction correct · off by 102.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 729.4 ±14.9

10526Orcas

Season APEX 124.2Event APEX 46.46Rank 28Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 77

6941IronPulse Robotics

Season APEX 267.4Event APEX 197.9Rank 2Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8214Cyber Unicorn

Season APEX 337.8Event APEX 248.31Rank 1Record 7-0-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 740.4 ±15.8

6304EAGLE

Season APEX 126.3Event APEX 89.97Rank 20Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 76

9597Luban Robotics

A+

Season APEX 324.6Event APEX 146.78Rank 3Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 95

9635Cyber Rabbit

Season APEX 289.5Event APEX 118.74Rank 5Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10526, 6941, 8214

/ 100 compat

Projected

492.7 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 10526, 6941, 8214

Auto

97.6 21%

Teleop

256.7 55%

Endgame

114.0 24%

Strengths

· 8214 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6304, 9597, 9635

/ 100 compat

Projected

355.5 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 6304, 9597, 9635

Auto

88.1 26%

Teleop

177.2 52%

Endgame

77.4 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.34 · Blue 0.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score492.7pts

Blue projected score355.5pts

Red win probability85%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 137.2
Score range: 316–532
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 688 vs event baseline 218.6.

← Previous

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

729.4Season APEX740.4

97.6Auto88.1

256.7Teleop177.2

114Endgame77.4

8Consistency17

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	102	99
teleop	276	59
endgame	107	10
foul	30	5
total	515	173

Result

Final score

515 – 173

Prediction correct · off by 102.4 pts