Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

648.72 – 594.39

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

711 – 561

Prediction correct · off by 47.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 1072.2 ±8.7

4065Nerds of Prey

Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 216.24Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

4414HighTide

Season APEX 418.9Event APEX 216.24Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

1323MadTown Robotics

Season APEX 409.1Event APEX 216.24Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 957.2 ±8.1

868TechHOUNDS

Season APEX 240.9Event APEX 198.13Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

2910Jack in the Bot

Season APEX 368.3Event APEX 198.13Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

2046Bear Metal

Season APEX 348Event APEX 198.13Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4065, 4414, 1323

/ 100 compat

Projected

648.7 pts

~1.4 RP (championship)

Teams: 4065, 4414, 1323

Auto

163.0 26%

Teleop

317.3 50%

Endgame

152.9 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 2%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 868, 2910, 2046

/ 100 compat

Projected

594.4 pts

~0.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 868, 2910, 2046

Auto

109.2 18%

Teleop

295.7 50%

Endgame

185.6 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases
· Low variance, consistent output

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 2%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.39 · Blue 0.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score648.7pts

Blue projected score594.4pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample32alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 54.3
Score range: 480–763
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 1272 vs event baseline 631.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

1072.2Season APEX957.2

163Auto109.2

317.3Teleop295.7

152.9Endgame185.6

168Consistency237

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	163	106
teleop	339	290
endgame	169	165
foul	40	0
total	711	561

Result

Final score

711 – 561

Prediction correct · off by 47.8 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.