FIRST Chesapeake District Championship presented by C-CAM, VSU, Go Tec, and NASA

Qualification · Qualification 83

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

476.09 – 313.09

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

423 – 264

Prediction correct · off by 51.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 581.7 ±9.3

449The Blair Robot Project

A+

Season APEX 294.9Event APEX 227.75Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5724Spartan Robotics

Season APEX 55.9Event APEX 66.47Rank 44Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1908ShoreBots

Season APEX 230.9Event APEX 181.87Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 431.3 ±9.8

2377C Company

Season APEX 94.7Event APEX 60.92Rank 28Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8592Newton Squared

Season APEX 135.8Event APEX 108.2Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

619Cavalier Robotics

Season APEX 200.8Event APEX 143.97Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 449, 5724, 1908

/ 100 compat

Projected

476.1 pts

~2.7 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 449, 5724, 1908

Auto

70.4 15%

Teleop

290.1 63%

Endgame

103.4 22%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 28%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2377, 8592, 619

/ 100 compat

Projected

313.1 pts

~1.1 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 2377, 8592, 619

Auto

35.2 11%

Teleop

190.9 62%

Endgame

80.3 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 28%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.69 · Blue 1.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score476.1pts

Blue projected score313.1pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample246alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 28%, blue 22%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 163
Score range: 263–526
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 687 vs event baseline 279.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

581.7Season APEX431.3

70.4Auto35.2

290.1Teleop190.9

103.4Endgame80.3

129Consistency144

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	79	23
teleop	269	172
endgame	75	69
foul	0	0
total	423	264

Result

Final score

423 – 264

Prediction correct · off by 51.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.