FIRST Chesapeake District Championship presented by C-CAM, VSU, Go Tec, and NASA

Qualification · Qualification 8

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

128.07 – 128.07

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

280 – 252

Prediction correct · off by 137.9 points

Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 423.2 ±9.8

1908ShoreBots

Season APEX 230.9Event APEX -Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5243Aegis

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX -Rank 35Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10004SCAROB (Star City Area Robotics)

Season APEX 95.1Event APEX -Rank 25Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 417.8 ±10.4

1262the STAGS

Season APEX 117.5Event APEX -Rank 51Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4541CAVineers

Season APEX 109.8Event APEX -Rank 26Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11415Storm Surge

Season APEX 190.5Event APEX -Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1908, 5243, 10004

/ 100 compat

Projected

128.1 pts

~1.7 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1908, 5243, 10004

Auto

38.4 30%

Teleop

64.0 50%

Endgame

25.6 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1262, 4541, 11415

/ 100 compat

Projected

128.1 pts

~1.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1262, 4541, 11415

Auto

38.4 30%

Teleop

64.0 50%

Endgame

25.6 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.68 · Blue 1.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score128.1pts

Blue projected score128.1pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample246alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 19%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 0
Score range: 82–174
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 532 vs event baseline 256.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

423.2Season APEX417.8

-Auto-

-Teleop-

-Endgame-

-Consistency-

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	53
teleop	148	142
endgame	78	57
foul	10	0
total	280	252

Result

Final score

280 – 252

Prediction correct · off by 137.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.