FIRST Chesapeake District Championship presented by C-CAM, VSU, Go Tec, and NASA

Qualification · Qualification 63

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

83.37 – 255.92

10%90%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

71 – 205

Prediction correct · off by 31.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 277.2 ±10.4

5804TORCH

Season APEX 98.4Event APEX 45.02Rank 41Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9033Ocebots

Season APEX 85.7Event APEX 3.35Rank 54Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1895Lambda Corps

Season APEX 93.1Event APEX 35Rank 52Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 340.1 ±10.4

3939Botetourt 4-H Robotics

Season APEX 112.1Event APEX 98.99Rank 42Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10004SCAROB (Star City Area Robotics)

Season APEX 95.1Event APEX 48.73Rank 25Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1086Blue Cheese

Season APEX 132.9Event APEX 108.2Rank 22Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5804, 9033, 1895

/ 100 compat

Projected

83.4 pts

~0.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 5804, 9033, 1895

Auto

21.0 24%

Teleop

24.8 29%

Endgame

41.1 47%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3939, 10004, 1086

/ 100 compat

Projected

255.9 pts

~2.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 3939, 10004, 1086

Auto

40.8 16%

Teleop

135.8 53%

Endgame

81.4 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.79 · Blue 2.51

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score83.4pts

Blue projected score255.9pts

Red win probability10%

Event bonus sample246alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 15%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -172.5
Score range: 33–306
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 276 vs event baseline 277.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

277.2Season APEX340.1

21Auto40.8

24.8Teleop135.8

41.1Endgame81.4

154Consistency125

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	28
teleop	48	132
endgame	3	40
foul	0	5
total	71	205

Result

Final score

71 – 205

Prediction correct · off by 31.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.