FIRST Chesapeake District Championship presented by C-CAM, VSU, Go Tec, and NASA

Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

233.31 – 313.34

27%73%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

181 – 423

Prediction correct · off by 81 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 391.8 ±9.8

5587Titan Robotics

Season APEX 93.7Event APEX 9.19Rank 46Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

619Cavalier Robotics

Season APEX 200.8Event APEX 145.06Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

620Warbots

Season APEX 97.3Event APEX 79.06Rank 43Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 580.5 ±9.3

836The RoboBees

Season APEX 272.5Event APEX 145.32Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3939Botetourt 4-H Robotics

Season APEX 112.1Event APEX 67.66Rank 42Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

614Night Hawks

Season APEX 195.9Event APEX 100.36Rank 32Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5587, 619, 620

/ 100 compat

Projected

233.3 pts

~1.1 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 5587, 619, 620

Auto

30.8 13%

Teleop

134.8 59%

Endgame

63.2 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 836, 3939, 614

/ 100 compat

Projected

313.3 pts

~2.2 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 836, 3939, 614

Auto

63.4 20%

Teleop

179.5 58%

Endgame

67.3 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.15 · Blue 2.2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score233.3pts

Blue projected score313.3pts

Red win probability27%

Event bonus sample246alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 16%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -80
Score range: 179–367
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 604 vs event baseline 297.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

391.8Season APEX580.5

30.8Auto63.4

134.8Teleop179.5

63.2Endgame67.3

159Consistency122

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	73
teleop	115	280
endgame	37	70
foul	0	0
total	181	423

Result

Final score

181 – 423

Prediction correct · off by 81 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.