Qualification · Qualification 33
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
213.86 – 245.53
40%60%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
205 – 368
Prediction correct · off by 65.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 452.5 ±9.8
Season APEX 254.7Event APEX 83.39Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 112.1Event APEX 134.05Rank 42Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 85.7Event APEX -3.58Rank 54Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 575.6 ±9.8
Season APEX 289.4Event APEX 91.68Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 190.5Event APEX 142.16Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 95.7Event APEX 11.69Rank 34Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9072, 3939, 9033
58
/ 100 compatProjected
213.9 pts
~1.4 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 9072, 3939, 9033
Auto
57.9 28%
Teleop
123.1 60%
Endgame
23.9 12%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 11%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 346, 11415, 2890
67
/ 100 compatProjected
245.5 pts
~2.0 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 346, 11415, 2890
Auto
30.8 12%
Teleop
150.3 60%
Endgame
68.1 27%
Strengths
- · Low variance, consistent output
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 11%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.41 · Blue 1.99
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score213.9pts
Blue projected score245.5pts
Red win probability40%
Event bonus sample246alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 48%, blue 58%
Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 20%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -31.7
- Score range
- 165–295
- Upset likelihood
- 40%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
452.5Season APEX575.6
57.9Auto30.8
123.1Teleop150.3
23.9Endgame68.1
160Consistency229
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 49 | 73 |
| teleop | 135 | 216 |
| endgame | 21 | 79 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 205 | 368 |
Result
Final score
205 – 368
Prediction correct · off by 65.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.