FIRST Chesapeake District Championship presented by C-CAM, VSU, Go Tec, and NASA

Qualification · Qualification 106

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

334.77 – 177.13

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

500 – 273

Prediction correct · off by 130.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 600.5 ±9.3

401Copperhead Robotics

Season APEX 210Event APEX 108.54Rank 21Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8592Newton Squared

Season APEX 135.8Event APEX 96.19Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9072TigerBots

Season APEX 254.7Event APEX 130.04Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 477.4 ±9.3

2199Robo-Lions

Season APEX 199.4Event APEX 92.56Rank 15Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1895Lambda Corps

Season APEX 93.1Event APEX 35.49Rank 52Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11318Freedom Robotics

Season APEX 184.9Event APEX 49.08Rank 23Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 401, 8592, 9072

/ 100 compat

Projected

334.8 pts

~2.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 401, 8592, 9072

Auto

69.7 21%

Teleop

193.2 59%

Endgame

62.5 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2199, 1895, 11318

/ 100 compat

Projected

177.1 pts

~1.0 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 2199, 1895, 11318

Auto

36.2 21%

Teleop

80.1 47%

Endgame

53.5 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.51 · Blue 0.96

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score334.8pts

Blue projected score177.1pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample246alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 20%, blue 16%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 157.6
Score range: 126–386
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 773 vs event baseline 282.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

600.5Season APEX477.4

69.7Auto36.2

193.2Teleop80.1

62.5Endgame53.5

116Consistency97

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	116	57
teleop	282	118
endgame	102	93
foul	0	5
total	500	273

Result

Final score

500 – 273

Prediction correct · off by 130.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.