Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
FIRST Chesapeake District Championship presented by C-CAM, VSU, Go Tec, and NASA

Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

478.2 – 427.65

65%35%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

462 – 393

Prediction correct · off by 25.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 821.4 ±8.7
449The Blair Robot Project
A+
Season APEX 294.9Event APEX 214.04Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
5549Gryphon Robotics
A
Season APEX 254Event APEX 117.92Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
836The RoboBees
A
Season APEX 272.5Event APEX 146.24Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 710 ±8.7
1727REX
B
Season APEX 193.9Event APEX 120.43Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
4099The Falcons
A
Season APEX 261.4Event APEX 167.68Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
9072TigerBots
A
Season APEX 254.7Event APEX 139.54Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 449, 5549, 836
86
/ 100 compat
Projected
478.2 pts
~2.3 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 449, 5549, 836
Auto
88.2 19%
Teleop
280.5 59%
Endgame
103.7 22%
Strengths
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 37%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1727, 4099, 9072
85
/ 100 compat
Projected
427.7 pts
~1.5 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 1727, 4099, 9072
Auto
94.1 22%
Teleop
230.2 54%
Endgame
98.6 23%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 37%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.29 · Blue 1.48
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score478.2pts
Blue projected score427.7pts
Red win probability65%
Event bonus sample246alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 59%, blue 52%
Supercharged bonusred 37%, blue 24%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
50.6
Score range
375–531
Upset likelihood
35%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring
Playoff

Combined score 855 vs event baseline 295.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

821.4Season APEX710
88.2Auto94.1
280.5Teleop230.2
103.7Endgame98.6
108Consistency90

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto9843
teleop206215
endgame158135
foul00
total462393

Result

Final score

462 – 393

Prediction correct · off by 25.4 pts

Match videos

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