Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

256.96 – 259.24

49%51%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

261 – 219

Prediction missed · off by 22.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 732.6 ±9.3

192GRT

Season APEX 113.6Event APEX -1.38Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7415Jaguar Robotics Sponsored By Feit Electric

Season APEX 284.3Event APEX 117.15Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6036Peninsula Robotics

Season APEX 334.7Event APEX 141.19Rank 12Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 648.5 ±9.9

9271Cyber Porpoises

Season APEX 83.6Event APEX 32.96Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

599The Robodox

Season APEX 289.2Event APEX 129.26Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5199Robot Dolphins From Outer Space

Season APEX 275.7Event APEX 97.02Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 192, 7415, 6036

/ 100 compat

Projected

257 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 192, 7415, 6036

Auto

52.0 21%

Teleop

147.9 58%

Endgame

53.6 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9271, 599, 5199

/ 100 compat

Projected

259.2 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9271, 599, 5199

Auto

52.5 21%

Teleop

145.3 57%

Endgame

55.0 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.55 · Blue 1.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score257pts

Blue projected score259.2pts

Red win probability49%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -2.3
Score range: 228–288
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 480 vs event baseline 160.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

732.6Season APEX648.5

52Auto52.5

147.9Teleop145.3

53.6Endgame55

23Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	88	63
teleop	108	100
endgame	65	56
foul	0	0
total	261	219

Result

Final score

261 – 219

Prediction missed · off by 22.1 pts

Match videos

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