Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

221.98 – 123.1

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

330 – 85

Prediction correct · off by 73.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 628.3 ±9.9

3512Spartatroniks

Season APEX 257Event APEX 96.17Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6060Circuit Serpents

Season APEX 71.7Event APEX 29Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1538The Holy Cows

A+

Season APEX 299.6Event APEX 96.81Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 372.3 ±10.5

1160Titanium Robotics

Season APEX 141.6Event APEX 74.71Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5285Sea Kings Robotics

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 19.57Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11024HYPERNOVA

Season APEX 151.4Event APEX 28.82Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3512, 6060, 1538

/ 100 compat

Projected

222 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 3512, 6060, 1538

Auto

41.3 19%

Teleop

133.0 61%

Endgame

44.7 20%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1160, 5285, 11024

/ 100 compat

Projected

123.1 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 1160, 5285, 11024

Auto

26.0 23%

Teleop

66.4 58%

Endgame

22.0 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.09 · Blue 1.01

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score222pts

Blue projected score123.1pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 98.9
Score range: 94–251
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 415 vs event baseline 158.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

628.3Season APEX372.3

41.3Auto26

133Teleop66.4

44.7Endgame22

0Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	66	23
teleop	164	41
endgame	60	21
foul	40	0
total	330	85

Result

Final score

330 – 85

Prediction correct · off by 73.1 pts

Match videos

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