Qualification · Qualification 72

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

107.11 – 44.17

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

113 – 93

Prediction correct · off by 27.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 491.9 ±10.5

7323TriTron

Season APEX 78.7Event APEX 8.83Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1538The Holy Cows

A+

Season APEX 299.6Event APEX 97.82Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

192GRT

Season APEX 113.6Event APEX 0.46Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 204.2 ±13.3

5500Jaguars Robotics & ROVs

Season APEX 34.5Event APEX -0.44Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5012Gryffingear

Season APEX 103.2Event APEX 37.26Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1661Griffitrons

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 7.35Rank 36Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7323, 1538, 192

/ 100 compat

Projected

107.1 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 7323, 1538, 192

Auto

23.0 22%

Teleop

66.0 63%

Endgame

15.6 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5500, 5012, 1661

/ 100 compat

Projected

44.2 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5500, 5012, 1661

Auto

17.6 41%

Teleop

13.9 32%

Endgame

11.8 27%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.85 · Blue 1.01

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score107.1pts

Blue projected score44.2pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 62.9
Score range: 16–135
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 206 vs event baseline 155.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

491.9Season APEX204.2

23Auto17.6

66Teleop13.9

15.6Endgame11.8

29Consistency7

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	50	33
teleop	50	39
endgame	13	21
foul	0	0
total	113	93

Result

Final score

113 – 93

Prediction correct · off by 27.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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