Qualification · Qualification 71

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

70.32 – 101.33

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

125 – 131

Prediction correct · off by 42.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 378 ±11.7

3309Friarbots

Season APEX 90Event APEX 14.12Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9520Rock-it Robotics

Season APEX 81.6Event APEX 7.24Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1388Eagle Robotics

Season APEX 206.4Event APEX 48.96Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 336.4 ±12.4

7327Metal Jackets

Season APEX 33.1Event APEX -15.67Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 95

691Project 691 Robotics

Season APEX 46.3Event APEX 21.07Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3512Spartatroniks

Season APEX 257Event APEX 95.93Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3309, 9520, 1388

/ 100 compat

Projected

70.3 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 3309, 9520, 1388

Auto

18.3 27%

Teleop

34.3 50%

Endgame

15.5 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7327, 691, 3512

/ 100 compat

Projected

101.3 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 7327, 691, 3512

Auto

25.8 25%

Teleop

51.7 50%

Endgame

26.8 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.27 · Blue 1.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score70.3pts

Blue projected score101.3pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -31
Score range: 42–129
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 256 vs event baseline 156.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

378Season APEX336.4

18.3Auto25.8

34.3Teleop51.7

15.5Endgame26.8

0Consistency8

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	22
teleop	60	57
endgame	52	52
foul	0	0
total	125	131

Result

Final score

125 – 131

Prediction correct · off by 42.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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