Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

98.29 – 95.43

51%49%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

106 – 263

Prediction missed · off by 87.6 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 462 ±12.4

22Double Deuce

Season APEX 60.8Event APEX 32Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1661Griffitrons

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 8.86Rank 36Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6036Peninsula Robotics

Season APEX 334.7Event APEX 57.43Rank 12Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 832.3 ±8.7

1538The Holy Cows

A+

Season APEX 299.6Event APEX 17.43Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3512Spartatroniks

Season APEX 257Event APEX 32Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5199Robot Dolphins From Outer Space

Season APEX 275.7Event APEX 46Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 22, 1661, 6036

/ 100 compat

Projected

98.3 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 22, 1661, 6036

Auto

36.3 39%

Teleop

40.3 43%

Endgame

17.4 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1538, 3512, 5199

/ 100 compat

Projected

95.4 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 1538, 3512, 5199

Auto

24.6 26%

Teleop

49.4 53%

Endgame

20.0 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.54 · Blue 1.59

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score98.3pts

Blue projected score95.4pts

Red win probability51%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 2.9
Score range: 72–121
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 369 vs event baseline 129.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

462Season APEX832.3

36.3Auto24.6

40.3Teleop49.4

17.4Endgame20

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	59
teleop	57	149
endgame	1	50
foul	15	5
total	106	263

Result

Final score

106 – 263

Prediction missed · off by 87.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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