Qualification · Qualification 67

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

265.19 – 332.96

30%70%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

303 – 415

Prediction correct · off by 59.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 569 ±10.5

6560Charging Champions

Season APEX 111Event APEX 51.7Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

973Greybots

A+

Season APEX 316.4Event APEX 141.31Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1160Titanium Robotics

Season APEX 141.6Event APEX 72.18Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 550.8 ±12.4

4711The Flying Aces

Season APEX 71.1Event APEX 35.62Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

22Double Deuce

Season APEX 60.8Event APEX -1.75Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4414HighTide

Season APEX 418.9Event APEX 299.09Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6560, 973, 1160

/ 100 compat

Projected

265.2 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 6560, 973, 1160

Auto

48.6 19%

Teleop

169.7 65%

Endgame

42.3 16%

Strengths

· 973 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4711, 22, 4414

/ 100 compat

Projected

333 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 4711, 22, 4414

Auto

54.1 16%

Teleop

201.6 61%

Endgame

73.7 22%

Strengths

· 4414 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.22 · Blue 2.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score265.2pts

Blue projected score333pts

Red win probability30%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -67.8
Score range: 237–361
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 718 vs event baseline 154.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

569Season APEX550.8

48.6Auto54.1

169.7Teleop201.6

42.3Endgame73.7

29Consistency24

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	95	47
teleop	149	220
endgame	59	143
foul	0	5
total	303	415

Result

Final score

303 – 415

Prediction correct · off by 59.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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