Qualification · Qualification 66

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

131.26 – 66.99

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

229 – 184

Prediction correct · off by 107.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 529.9 ±11.2

1661Griffitrons

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 1.63Rank 36Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3512Spartatroniks

Season APEX 257Event APEX 88.27Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1388Eagle Robotics

Season APEX 206.4Event APEX 41.36Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 294.7 ±11.7

192GRT

Season APEX 113.6Event APEX -6.92Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5136MechaPirates

Season APEX 152.1Event APEX 71.43Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6764Flash Drives

Season APEX 29Event APEX 2.48Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1661, 3512, 1388

/ 100 compat

Projected

131.3 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1661, 3512, 1388

Auto

27.9 23%

Teleop

80.2 65%

Endgame

15.5 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 192, 5136, 6764

/ 100 compat

Projected

67 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 192, 5136, 6764

Auto

15.5 24%

Teleop

31.2 48%

Endgame

18.6 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.89 · Blue 1.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score131.3pts

Blue projected score67pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 64.3
Score range: 39–159
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 413 vs event baseline 153.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

529.9Season APEX294.7

27.9Auto15.5

80.2Teleop31.2

15.5Endgame18.6

0Consistency92

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	29
teleop	143	94
endgame	55	61
foul	0	0
total	229	184

Result

Final score

229 – 184

Prediction correct · off by 107.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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