Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

95.18 – 75

56%44%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

49 – 61

Prediction missed · off by 30.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 338.2 ±11.7

691Project 691 Robotics

Season APEX 46.3Event APEX 26.69Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

589Falkon Robotics

Season APEX 186.8Event APEX 30.02Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3925Ventura Robotics

Season APEX 105.1Event APEX 38.47Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 265.2 ±12.1

7323TriTron

Season APEX 78.7Event APEX 11.81Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6934Scorps

Season APEX 102.9Event APEX 30.18Rank 14Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9271Cyber Porpoises

Season APEX 83.6Event APEX 33.01Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 691, 589, 3925

/ 100 compat

Projected

95.2 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 691, 589, 3925

Auto

29.8 30%

Teleop

38.1 38%

Endgame

31.2 31%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7323, 6934, 9271

/ 100 compat

Projected

75 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 7323, 6934, 9271

Auto

17.3 23%

Teleop

38.3 50%

Endgame

20.6 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.6 · Blue 1.31

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score95.2pts

Blue projected score75pts

Red win probability56%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 20.2
Score range: 47–123
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 110 vs event baseline 155.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

338.2Season APEX265.2

29.8Auto17.3

38.1Teleop38.3

31.2Endgame20.6

6Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	28
teleop	14	24
endgame	12	9
foul	0	0
total	49	61

Result

Final score

49 – 61

Prediction missed · off by 30.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.