Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

18.29 – 187.65

11%89%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

31 – 139

Prediction correct · off by 30.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 185.5 ±13.9

8521CyberLions

Season APEX 42.4Event APEX 12.94Rank 35Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5869QHHS Aqueducks

Season APEX 61.5Event APEX -1.6Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9520Rock-it Robotics

Season APEX 81.6Event APEX 6.95Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 451.8 ±11.2

1160Titanium Robotics

Season APEX 141.6Event APEX 78.23Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5199Robot Dolphins From Outer Space

Season APEX 275.7Event APEX 104.01Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5500Jaguars Robotics & ROVs

Season APEX 34.5Event APEX 5.41Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8521, 5869, 9520

/ 100 compat

Projected

18.3 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 8521, 5869, 9520

Auto

17.4 100%

Teleop

-12.4 0%

Endgame

10.9 69%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1160, 5199, 5500

/ 100 compat

Projected

187.7 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 1160, 5199, 5500

Auto

27.0 15%

Teleop

106.7 58%

Endgame

50.8 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.68 · Blue 2.36

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score18.3pts

Blue projected score187.7pts

Red win probability11%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -169.4
Score range: -10–216
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-17
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 170 vs event baseline 154.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

185.5Season APEX451.8

17.4Auto27

-12.4Teleop106.7

10.9Endgame50.8

21Consistency26

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	25
teleop	18	85
endgame	5	29
foul	0	0
total	31	139

Result

Final score

31 – 139

Prediction correct · off by 30.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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